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        <title>Risk country - NEWS BBVA</title>
        <atom:link href="https://www.bbva.com/en/economy-and-finance/economy/analysis-economic/risk-country/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
        <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/</link>
        <description>NEWS BBVA</description>
        <lastBuildDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2026 15:47:13 +0200</lastBuildDate>
        <language>en-US</language>
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                                <item>
                    <title>U.S. Economic Outlook: Third Quarter 2018</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/u-s-economic-outlook-third-quarter-2018/</link>
                    <pubDate>Thu, 23 Aug 2018 20:39:15 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[Lori Moore]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/?p=564072</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[In recent months, concerns surrounding the financial health of the business sector have been on the rise. In particular, market participants are worried that higher price pressures, faster monetary policy normalization, and a trade war, amid stretched valuations, could trigger a significant decline in risk appetite. This would lead to higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions.]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[In recent months, concerns surrounding the financial health of the business sector have been on the rise. In particular, market participants are worried that higher price pressures, faster monetary policy normalization, and a trade war, amid stretched valuations, could trigger a significant decline in risk appetite. This would lead to higher borrowing costs and tighter financial conditions.]]>
                        </content:encoded>
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                                <item>
                    <title>Understanding a company’s FX risk</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/understanding-companys-fx-risk/</link>
                    <pubDate>Thu, 22 Feb 2018 14:23:51 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[kimberly.tabor]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Banking]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Capital]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Corporate finance]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial and commercial services]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial markets and monetary economics]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial products]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial scenarios]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Foreign exchange]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Foreign exchange market]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[International finance]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Investment bank]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Transactional banking]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/?p=423222</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[The<strong> headlines about the U.S. dollar this year</strong> have underscored how complicated it is to predict the <strong>movement of any one currency in a global economy</strong>. They’ve gone from grim (“Dollar set for worst January in 30 years”) to triumphant (“Dollar claws back”) to deflated (“Dollar’s rebound fizzles”) in a matter of weeks.]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[The<strong> headlines about the U.S. dollar this year</strong> have underscored how complicated it is to predict the <strong>movement of any one currency in a global economy</strong>. They’ve gone from grim (“Dollar set for worst January in 30 years”) to triumphant (“Dollar claws back”) to deflated (“Dollar’s rebound fizzles”) in a matter of weeks.]]>
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                                <item>
                    <title>BBVA Research affirms positive outlook for Spanish economy in 2018-2019</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/bbva-research-affirms-positive-outlook-spanish-economy-2018-2019/</link>
                    <pubDate>Tue, 16 Jan 2018 16:18:49 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[Blanca González del Fresno]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Central banks]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Deficit]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Dollar]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic forecasting]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic indexes]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Euro]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial scenarios]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Global markets]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Gross domestic product]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/?p=395940</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[<a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">BBVA Research</a> maintains its forecasts for Spain’s GDP growth in 2017 and 2018 at 3.1% and 2.5%, respectively. In addition, it expects that the economic recovery will continue in 2019  (with a 2.3% increase in GDP) and that the improvement in the economy will translate into wage growth. BBVA Research’s latest Spain Economic Outlook was presented today by Jorge Sicilia, Chief Economist of the BBVA Group and Director of BBVA Research; Rafael Doménech, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis at BBVA Research; and Miguel Cardoso, Chief Economist for Spain and Portugal.  If these forecasts prove to be correct, Spain´s unemployment rate could drop to 13.4% by end of 2019, which would imply the creation of 860,000 jobs over the next two years.]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[<a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">BBVA Research</a> maintains its forecasts for Spain’s GDP growth in 2017 and 2018 at 3.1% and 2.5%, respectively. In addition, it expects that the economic recovery will continue in 2019  (with a 2.3% increase in GDP) and that the improvement in the economy will translate into wage growth. BBVA Research’s latest Spain Economic Outlook was presented today by Jorge Sicilia, Chief Economist of the BBVA Group and Director of BBVA Research; Rafael Doménech, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis at BBVA Research; and Miguel Cardoso, Chief Economist for Spain and Portugal.  If these forecasts prove to be correct, Spain´s unemployment rate could drop to 13.4% by end of 2019, which would imply the creation of 860,000 jobs over the next two years.]]>
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                                <item>
                    <title>Big Data helps BBVA Research understand the economy in real time</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/innovation/big-data-helps-bbva-research-understand-economy-real-time/</link>
                    <pubDate>Mon, 20 Nov 2017 00:00:33 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[Carmen Álvarez]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Artificial Intelligence]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic sectors]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial scenarios]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Geostrategy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Innovation]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Regional analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Technology]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/en/?p=357233</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[The refugee crisis, political events and the social reaction to them, natural disasters such as <strong><a href="https://www.bbva.com/en/bbva-compass-archive-harvey-related-stories-designed-help-houston-navigate-new-reality/" target="_blank">Hurricane Harvey</a></strong> or Hurricane Irma, the sentiments of people or central banks… there is an ever-increasing number of events whose economic impact, in a world of growing risk and uncertainty, is hard to gauge using traditional methods. That’s where ‘<strong><a href="https://www.bbva.com/en/three-multinational-companies-explain-big-data-revolutionized-business/" target="_blank">Big Data</a></strong>’ and ‘<strong><a href="https://www.bbva.com/en/data-cornerstone-create-opportunities/" target="_blank">Data Science</a></strong>’ techniques come in, helping to quantify these trends from micro to macro level.]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[The refugee crisis, political events and the social reaction to them, natural disasters such as <strong><a href="https://www.bbva.com/en/bbva-compass-archive-harvey-related-stories-designed-help-houston-navigate-new-reality/" target="_blank">Hurricane Harvey</a></strong> or Hurricane Irma, the sentiments of people or central banks… there is an ever-increasing number of events whose economic impact, in a world of growing risk and uncertainty, is hard to gauge using traditional methods. That’s where ‘<strong><a href="https://www.bbva.com/en/three-multinational-companies-explain-big-data-revolutionized-business/" target="_blank">Big Data</a></strong>’ and ‘<strong><a href="https://www.bbva.com/en/data-cornerstone-create-opportunities/" target="_blank">Data Science</a></strong>’ techniques come in, helping to quantify these trends from micro to macro level.]]>
                        </content:encoded>
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                                <item>
                    <title>BBVA Research says recovery will continue in 2018, but at a slower pace</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/bbva-research-says-recovery-will-continue-2018-slower-pace/</link>
                    <pubDate>Tue, 07 Nov 2017 00:47:58 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[Blanca González del Fresno]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Consumption indexes]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Deficit]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Deflation]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic forecasting]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic indexes]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Euro]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial markets and monetary economics]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial scenarios]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Global markets]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Government rate]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Gross domestic product]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Inflation]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/en/?p=356223</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[According to <a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/" target="_blank">BBVA Research</a>’s latest Spain Outlook report, 2017 will cap off Spain’s three-year run of GDP growth at rates above three percent. Recovery will continue in 2018, but at a slower pace, in an environment marked by rising uncertainties. The report was presented today by Jorge Sicilia, Chief Economist of BBVA Group and Head of BBVA Research, Rafael Doménech, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis of BBVA Research and Miguel Cardoso, Chief Economist Spain and Portugal. Considering this scenario, BBVA Research has downgraded its GDP growth forecasts for 2017 and 2018 to 3.1 and 2.5%, from 3.3% and 2.8% in July.]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[According to <a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/" target="_blank">BBVA Research</a>’s latest Spain Outlook report, 2017 will cap off Spain’s three-year run of GDP growth at rates above three percent. Recovery will continue in 2018, but at a slower pace, in an environment marked by rising uncertainties. The report was presented today by Jorge Sicilia, Chief Economist of BBVA Group and Head of BBVA Research, Rafael Doménech, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis of BBVA Research and Miguel Cardoso, Chief Economist Spain and Portugal. Considering this scenario, BBVA Research has downgraded its GDP growth forecasts for 2017 and 2018 to 3.1 and 2.5%, from 3.3% and 2.8% in July.]]>
                        </content:encoded>
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                                <item>
                    <title>What does a country’s risk premium reflect?</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/countrys-risk-premium-reflect/</link>
                    <pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2017 23:26:27 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[Reyes Pariente]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Banking]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Bonds]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial and commercial services]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial markets and monetary economics]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial system]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Fixed income market]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk premium]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/en/?p=352168</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[The country risk premium is the return that investors demand from a country to buy its sovereign bonds in comparison with that demanded from other countries. It is calculated as the difference between the interest rate of a country’s bonds compared to bonds issued by a benchmark country, considered "riskless."]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[The country risk premium is the return that investors demand from a country to buy its sovereign bonds in comparison with that demanded from other countries. It is calculated as the difference between the interest rate of a country’s bonds compared to bonds issued by a benchmark country, considered "riskless."]]>
                        </content:encoded>
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                                <item>
                    <title>Tale of U.S. economy since election: one of great expectations, little growth</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/tale-u-s-economy-election-one-great-expectations-little-growth/</link>
                    <pubDate>Wed, 21 Jun 2017 04:46:30 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[Tristan Grimble]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Analysis and opinion]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic forecasting]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial scenarios]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Geostrategy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/en/?p=334342</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[The tale of the U.S. economy since the election of Donald Trump is one of great expectations but little growth.]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[The tale of the U.S. economy since the election of Donald Trump is one of great expectations but little growth.]]>
                        </content:encoded>
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                                <item>
                    <title>Tensions surrounding North Korea nuclear programme continued and US provided support to YPC in Raqqa</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/tensions-surrounding-north-korea-nuclear-programme-continued-us-provided-support-ypc-raqqa/</link>
                    <pubDate>Thu, 18 May 2017 01:42:57 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[david.corral]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Geostrategy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Regional analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Sectorial analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/en/?p=330038</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[<strong>April 2017 Update</strong>. Tensions continued between North Korea and US over the nuclear test programme and the US increased its missile defence system in the area. The Chinese will continue to maintain the statuo quo while the tone of the US escalated but softened thereafter. In the Middle East, the advances of the coalition forces continue and the the ISIS situation deteriorates. The US decided to advance in Raqqa (the ISIS capital) supporting the YPG forces in the combats. Turkey has already protested the decision. Social unrest increased in some Latin American countries, while Asia remained calm. Uncertainties about the future of Europe decreased after Macron’s victory in French elections.
<h2><strong>For more information, please visit <a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/publicaciones/situacion-geopolitica-mundial-actualizacion-mensual-abril-2017/" target="_blank">BBVA Research’s website</a></strong></h2>]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[<strong>April 2017 Update</strong>. Tensions continued between North Korea and US over the nuclear test programme and the US increased its missile defence system in the area. The Chinese will continue to maintain the statuo quo while the tone of the US escalated but softened thereafter. In the Middle East, the advances of the coalition forces continue and the the ISIS situation deteriorates. The US decided to advance in Raqqa (the ISIS capital) supporting the YPG forces in the combats. Turkey has already protested the decision. Social unrest increased in some Latin American countries, while Asia remained calm. Uncertainties about the future of Europe decreased after Macron’s victory in French elections.
<h2><strong>For more information, please visit <a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/publicaciones/situacion-geopolitica-mundial-actualizacion-mensual-abril-2017/" target="_blank">BBVA Research’s website</a></strong></h2>]]>
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                                <item>
                    <title>The Regulation of Microfinance</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/the-regulation-of-microfinance/</link>
                    <pubDate>Thu, 18 May 2017 00:55:34 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[julia.ortega]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Analysis and opinion]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Entrepreneurship &amp; Startups]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial inclusion]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial regulations]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial scenarios]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Microfinance Foundation]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Regulations]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Sectorial analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Social affairs]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/en/?p=329822</guid>
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                                <item>
                    <title>Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - March 2017 Update</title>
                    <link>https://www.bbva.com/en/geo-world-conflict-social-unrest-march-2017-update/</link>
                    <pubDate>Tue, 11 Apr 2017 15:33:27 +0000</pubDate>
                    <dc:creator>
                        <![CDATA[david.corral]]>
                    </dc:creator>
                                                                        <category>
                                <![CDATA[Economic analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Financial scenarios]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Geostrategy]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Macroeconomics analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Regional analysis]]>
                            </category>
                                                    <category>
                                <![CDATA[Risk country]]>
                            </category>
                                                                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.bbva.com/en/?p=326334</guid>
                                            <description>
                            <![CDATA[After the chemical weapons attack on Syrian civilian population, the US launched its first military strike against the Assad regime sending a clearer message to Syria and North Korea. However, it is still early to know whether this is a tactical message or part of a broader strategy. Europe and Asia kept with low conflict levels, while in North Africa, instability rose.
<h2><strong>For more information, please visit <a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/publicaciones/geo-world-conflict-social-unrest-march-2017-update/" target="_blank">BBVA Research’s website</a></strong></h2>]]>
                        </description>
                        <content:encoded>
                            <![CDATA[After the chemical weapons attack on Syrian civilian population, the US launched its first military strike against the Assad regime sending a clearer message to Syria and North Korea. However, it is still early to know whether this is a tactical message or part of a broader strategy. Europe and Asia kept with low conflict levels, while in North Africa, instability rose.
<h2><strong>For more information, please visit <a href="https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/publicaciones/geo-world-conflict-social-unrest-march-2017-update/" target="_blank">BBVA Research’s website</a></strong></h2>]]>
                        </content:encoded>
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